Today, I will explain the following website. (AI-generated)
日経平均株価の「2025年6月中旬まで」の値動き予測!トランプ関税による“最悪のシナリオ”は避けられる見通しで、6月の米FOMCまではレンジ相場が継続と予想(ダイヤモンド・ザイ) – Yahoo!ニュース
Contents
Understanding the Nikkei Stock Average Movements
The Nikkei Stock Average, a key indicator of Japan’s stock market health, is influenced by various global economic factors. Recently, strategists have predicted that the Nikkei will enter a range-bound market for the period from May 21 to June 20, 2025. This forecast comes on the heels of heightened market volatility due to President Trump’s tariff policies, which raised concerns about a potential downturn in the global economy.
What Influences the Nikkei Stock Average?
Several factors influence the Nikkei Stock Average, including global economic policies, trade agreements, and geopolitical events. For instance, changes in the United States’ tariff policies can have a significant impact on Japanese stocks, particularly those in sectors sensitive to international trade.
Trump’s Tariff Policies and Their Impact on Global Economy
President Trump’s tariff policies have caused market unrest, leading to a shift from riskier assets like stocks to safer ones. However, recent softening of these policies has brought some stability back to the markets. The possibility of avoiding the worst-case scenario of a global shift towards protectionism is now being considered, which could have a positive influence on the Nikkei.
Forecasting the Nikkei Stock Average Up to Mid-June 2025
Analysts expect the Nikkei to maintain a range-bound trend until mid-June 2025. This prediction is based on the assumption that the US will continue to negotiate with other countries during a 90-day suspension of mutual tariffs announced by President Trump. The outcome of the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will also be a critical factor to watch.
Strategies for Forex Traders Amidst Market Uncertainty
Forex traders must navigate market uncertainty with strategic planning and a keen eye on economic indicators. The USD/JPY currency pair, in particular, requires careful analysis due to its sensitivity to market changes and monetary policies.
How Forex Traders Can Benefit from Market Predictions
Forex traders can leverage market predictions to make informed decisions. For example, understanding the range-bound forecast for the Nikkei can help traders anticipate potential movements in the USD/JPY pair.
Range Trading: What It Means for the USD/JPY Pair
Range trading involves identifying a currency pair’s upper and lower trading limits and executing trades when the pair hits these boundaries. For the USD/JPY, the range-bound prediction for the Nikkei suggests that the currency pair may also experience a period of limited volatility, presenting opportunities for range traders.
Key Economic Indicators to Watch in the Forex Market
Forex traders should monitor key economic indicators such as policy interest rates, inflation data, and employment statistics. These indicators can significantly influence currency values and, consequently, forex trading strategies.
Investment Opportunities and Risks in the Current Climate
While market uncertainty poses challenges, it also presents investment opportunities, especially in sectors unaffected by tariff policies. Traders and investors should be aware of the risks and potential rewards in the current economic climate.
Industries such as hospitality and intellectual property (IP)-related sectors, which are less impacted by tariffs, may offer attractive investment opportunities. These sectors have shown resilience and have the potential for growth despite broader market uncertainties.
Understanding the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Decisions
The FOMC’s decisions on monetary policy are crucial for investors to understand. Their meetings can set the tone for market sentiment and influence investment strategies, particularly in relation to currency trading and stock market investments.
Preparing for the Upcoming Financial Announcements in Japan
As Japanese companies release their financial results, investors will gain insights into the new fiscal period’s outlook. This information can guide investment decisions, especially in sectors that have demonstrated strength and are likely to continue performing well.